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2016 Census results.

Alex_YYC

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Excellent numbers for YYC. Raw numbers were ahead of Montreal and Vancouver, pretty impressive growth.
 

UrbanWarrior

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Looks like Lethbridge is now officially a Census Metropolitan Area! Alberta's third! By next census, Red Deer should also be considered a CMA.
 

Oddball

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Thanks for creating this thread SP! I thought I was the only one who had February 8th circled on their calendar, haha! :) The City of Calgary has 1,237,353 residents according to the 2016 census. Which is really close to the 2016 Civic Census figure of 1,235,171.

Calgary's CMA boundaries

View attachment 98193
Here's a breakdown of the Calgary CMA, by its primary constituents: http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/hlt-fst/pd-pl/Table.cfm?Lang=Eng&T=209&CMA=825&S=47&O=A&RPP=25

I always thought it was silly that Beiseker is considered part of the Calgary CMA, but Okotoks isn't. The breakdown of the Calgary CMA is as follows:

Calgary: 1,237,353
Airdrie: 61,082
Cochrane: 25,289
Chestermere: 19,472
Langdon: 5,060
Crossfield: 2,973
Irricana: 1,160
Rural: 39,917
1,392,609

However, the Greater Calgary Area would be bigger by at least 42,465 with the inclusion of Okotos and High River (pop: 28,881 and: 13,584 respespectively). Not to mention the thousands of other people living in small towns and rural areas near the city, but not blessed to be within the confines of the MD of Rocky View. So, if the wider definition for the Greater Calgary Area that includes all of Census Division 6 (tack on the MDs of Foothills and Mountain View) is used, the population of the Calgary Area is much closer to 1.5M at 1,498,778. Pretty impressive!

Looks like Lethbridge is now officially a Census Metropolitan Area! Alberta's third! By next census, Red Deer should also be considered a CMA.
I think it will be next time around considering that the Red Deer Census Agglomerate topped 100,000 people this year and that's pretty much just Red Deer itself. Red Deer, at 99,718 is larger than Lethbridge at 87,572. CD 8, which contains Red Deer, has a listed population of 209K and CD2, which contains Lethbridge has a populaiton of 169K. I'm sure it'll be 4 CMAs by 2021. If not 5 or 6 when you consider Medicine Hat (CD 1, 82K+), Woodbuffalo (CD 16, 73K+) and Grande Prairie (CD 19, 120K+) all have municipal populations of 60K+ now as well.
 

UrbanWarrior

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Oh crap, does the census read Red Deer's population as only 99,718? Because if that's the case, it won't be a CMA next census. Only CAs (census agglomerations) with populations exceeding 100 000 become CMAs in the next census (as long as their population has remained about 100 000).
 

Oddball

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What I was trying to say is that Red Deer is almost certain to be considered a CMA for next time around. The simplified definition is an area with at least 100,00 of which 50,000 or more live in the core. If Red Deer is taken by it self, without any surrounding communities, it almost already satisfies that criteria. Add in places like Blackfalds (pop: 9,328) and Lacombe (pop: 13,057) which are much closer to Red Deer than many of the Lethbridge CMA components are, and I think it's a shoe in.

If you look at the table of CAs, there are 6 with populations of 100,000 or higher, Red Deer is among them because 700 rural residents top the city up to 100,418 people. Of these, only one Chatham-Kent, had a population greater than 100,000 in the previous census and was still considered a CA. The more complex definition of a CMA involves commuter flows, but I think the fact that the City of Red Deer alone is sure to have over 100,000 residents means that it will qualify.

Fredricton, Chilliwack, Kamloops and Nanaimo can probably make strong cases as well.

Just by looking at the maps Statcan has available, a plausible Red Deer CMA comprised of Red Deer and Lacombe Counties and all the subdivision within would have a population of nearly 200,000.

Red Deer: 100,418
Sylvan Lake: 14,816
Lacombe: 13,057
Blackfalds: 9,328
Innisfail: 7,847
Red Deer County: 19,541
Lacomb County: 10,343
175,350

And that probably excludes another 10,000 or so nearby residents in towns like Penhold that are incorporated and don't count towards the county numbers. The land area covered could be something loser to the size of Calgary's CMA than Lethbridge's, but even if you strip out Lacombe county, Red Deer County has more than enough.
 
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UrbanWarrior

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What I was trying to say is that Red Deer is almost certain to be considered a CMA for next time around. The simplified definition is an area with at least 100,00 of which 50,000 or more live in the core. If Red Deer is taken by it self, without any surrounding communities, it almost already satisfies that criteria. Add in places like Blackfalds (pop: 9,328) and Lacombe (pop: 13,057) which are much closer to Red Deer than many of the Lethbridge CMA components are, and I think it's a shoe in.

If you look at the table of CAs, there are 6 with populations of 100,000 or higher, Red Deer is among them because 700 rural residents top the city up to 100,418 people. Of these, only one Chatham-Kent, had a population greater than 100,000 in the previous census and was still considered a CA. The more complex definition of a CMA involves commuter flows, but I think the fact that the City of Red Deer alone is sure to have over 100,000 residents means that it will qualify.

Fredricton, Chilliwack, Kamloops and Nanaimo can probably make strong cases as well.

Just by looking at the maps Statcan has available, a plausible Red Deer CMA comprised of Red Deer and Lacombe Counties and all the subdivision within would have a population of nearly 200,000.

Red Deer: 100,418
Sylvan Lake: 14,816
Lacombe: 13,057
Blackfalds: 9,328
Innisfail: 7,847
Red Deer County: 19,541
Lacomb County: 10,343
175,350

And that probably excludes another 10,000 or so nearby residents in towns like Penhold that are incorporated and don't count towards the county numbers. The land area covered could be something loser to the size of Calgary's CMA than Lethbridge's, but even if you strip out Lacombe county, Red Deer County has more than enough.
hahaha you sound exactly like I used to on SSP, SurrealPlaces can corroborate this. I didn't realize that the Red Deer CA was over 100 000 in the census, that is excellent news. That might force a re-evaluation of the Red Deer area for the 2021 census. I've been saying for ages that Red Deer has a metro population of nearly 200 000. Here's hoping that Red Deer becomes a CMA, and Okotoks/Foothills M.D. gets added to the Calgary CMA next time around.
 

BKha

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I saw that Sylvan Lake was the fastest growing community in Calgary, and noticed that it was at 21k. Unreal! I remember when it was a sleepy little lakeside town.

What struck me most about this census was how Calgary had more population growth in pure numbers than Van or Mtl. I can't imagine what the numbers would have been like if the downturn hadn't of hit. I think we would have topped 200k.
 

BKha

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The other thing that struck me is how well Calgary's inner city is growing relative to other cities our size. Calgary seems to be ahead of the game on inner city growth.
thumbs up-s.png
 

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UrbanWarrior

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By my projection, if Alberta maintains this growth, or even slows down significantly (say down to 300 000 per census from the current 420 000), being about 600 000 behind BC, we will overtake them in population by the 2036 census at the latest, but could potentially come into close contact or slightly surpass BC by 2026 at the earliest.
 

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