Here's a breakdown of the Calgary CMA, by its primary constituents: http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/hlt-fst/pd-pl/Table.cfm?Lang=Eng&T=209&CMA=825&S=47&O=A&RPP=25
I think it will be next time around considering that the Red Deer Census Agglomerate topped 100,000 people this year and that's pretty much just Red Deer itself. Red Deer, at 99,718 is larger than Lethbridge at 87,572. CD 8, which contains Red Deer, has a listed population of 209K and CD2, which contains Lethbridge has a populaiton of 169K. I'm sure it'll be 4 CMAs by 2021. If not 5 or 6 when you consider Medicine Hat (CD 1, 82K+), Woodbuffalo (CD 16, 73K+) and Grande Prairie (CD 19, 120K+) all have municipal populations of 60K+ now as well.Looks like Lethbridge is now officially a Census Metropolitan Area! Alberta's third! By next census, Red Deer should also be considered a CMA.
hahaha you sound exactly like I used to on SSP, SurrealPlaces can corroborate this. I didn't realize that the Red Deer CA was over 100 000 in the census, that is excellent news. That might force a re-evaluation of the Red Deer area for the 2021 census. I've been saying for ages that Red Deer has a metro population of nearly 200 000. Here's hoping that Red Deer becomes a CMA, and Okotoks/Foothills M.D. gets added to the Calgary CMA next time around.What I was trying to say is that Red Deer is almost certain to be considered a CMA for next time around. The simplified definition is an area with at least 100,00 of which 50,000 or more live in the core. If Red Deer is taken by it self, without any surrounding communities, it almost already satisfies that criteria. Add in places like Blackfalds (pop: 9,328) and Lacombe (pop: 13,057) which are much closer to Red Deer than many of the Lethbridge CMA components are, and I think it's a shoe in.
If you look at the table of CAs, there are 6 with populations of 100,000 or higher, Red Deer is among them because 700 rural residents top the city up to 100,418 people. Of these, only one Chatham-Kent, had a population greater than 100,000 in the previous census and was still considered a CA. The more complex definition of a CMA involves commuter flows, but I think the fact that the City of Red Deer alone is sure to have over 100,000 residents means that it will qualify.
Fredricton, Chilliwack, Kamloops and Nanaimo can probably make strong cases as well.
Just by looking at the maps Statcan has available, a plausible Red Deer CMA comprised of Red Deer and Lacombe Counties and all the subdivision within would have a population of nearly 200,000.
Red Deer: 100,418
Sylvan Lake: 14,816
Red Deer County: 19,541
Lacomb County: 10,343
And that probably excludes another 10,000 or so nearby residents in towns like Penhold that are incorporated and don't count towards the county numbers. The land area covered could be something loser to the size of Calgary's CMA than Lethbridge's, but even if you strip out Lacombe county, Red Deer County has more than enough.