DougB
Active Member
So the City is building a line that doesn't service much in the way of where people live, willfully creating a white elephant. Sigh. Calgary used to be a well run city.
There's a bit of a cryptic statement regarding that:So does this mean we need to secure new funding for phase 2, which was technically supposed to be part of phase 1?
According to the city, they will advance the phase 2 plan from Eau Claire to 16 Avenue N if cost escalations don’t materialize in phase 1. The city said that for each 0.5 per cent in escalation, it costs $100 million.
This plan does put the north phase in flux, awaiting potential cost escalations. LiveWire Calgary was first to report that revisions to the city’s Green Line plan could push off the north leg well into the future.
“We have a level of confidence that we can deliver this program and available funding. we will know with greater certainty as we proceed through the… process,” Fairbairn said.
The people involved have probably become too committed to it. I'd expect if Green Line was estimated correctly at $8.5B+ for 40 km in 2015, they would have killed it then but after spending so much time and political capital on it, they just can't back away unless there's one last massive budget overrun that makes it impossible to even complete Stage 1.So the City is building a line that doesn't service much in the way of where people live, willfully creating a white elephant. Sigh. Calgary used to be a well run city.
It all depends on what the contracts come in at for phase 1. Too high, find more money. Low enough, go to 16th Ave. Even lower, go to McKenzie Towne as well. Then the next $750m-$1 billion goes to 64th Ave North, far enough to truncate the BRT. Hopefully with a 16 Ave N grade separation.So does this mean we need to secure new funding for phase 2, which was technically supposed to be part of phase 1?
It's absolutely not a white elephant. It will spawn significant developments along the route and those will all be transit-oriented neighbourhoods. It will also be the only LRT route in the city that wasn't built along a major car sewer (Crowchild, 36 St NE, Macleod, and 17 Ave SW). Even those very poorly-located LRT lines have seen significant densification in the past decade. Victoria Park, Ramsay, and Lynnwood all stand to become some of the best neighbourhoods in the city.So the City is building a line that doesn't service much in the way of where people live, willfully creating a white elephant. Sigh. Calgary used to be a well run city.
I live in the north central but at this point I want them to prioritize getting the rest built as quickly as possible. Even if that means building the south leg firstI'm in the camp of I don't mind if they only build Ear Claire to Shepard first. Make the next phase the section all the way down to Seton. The ROW is already there and ready to go, will be way cheaper than the NC, and is the fastest growing quadrant in the city, population wise.
Not saying the NC shouldn't be built, but… prioritize.
It's nice to see that phase 3 was even mentioned in the discussion, that is very encouraging that the parties involved seem set on it coming fully to fruition.
They're building the most expensive (and controversial) sections first. The rest should be mostly straightforward.So the City is building a line that doesn't service much in the way of where people live, willfully creating a white elephant. Sigh. Calgary used to be a well run city.
I am always skepitcal of these claims and projections. It has been over 10 years since Westbrook station was built, and there has been zero movement on any significant development there. Same with most of the West LRT. We have about 3-4 partially built (not enough to even say half) TODs on the red line as well, and that has been in place since the 80s. The Brentwood TOD plan has been a thing for 14 years now, and it is maybe 15% complete. Why are we further diluting our TOD lands, in the hopes that it will somehow spur even more?It's absolutely not a white elephant. It will spawn significant developments along the route and those will all be transit-oriented neighbourhoods. It will also be the only LRT route in the city that wasn't built along a major car sewer (Crowchild, 36 St NE, Macleod, and 17 Ave SW). Even those very poorly-located LRT lines have seen significant densification in the past decade. Victoria Park, Ramsay, and Lynnwood all stand to become some of the best neighbourhoods in the city.
Building a mass transit line through a city centre is incredibly difficult, but once it's done, it becomes significantly easier to expand it further into the suburbs. We can't let perfect be the enemy of the very good.
1. To the extent that there hasn't been a lot of TOD on existing lines likely has a lot to do with the fact that these stations were designed to be "park-and-ride". They're almost all along giant car sewers and surrounded by service roads and parking lots. The fact is, that there are very few stations that can accommodate TOD on the existing system. Stations like Brentwood and Heritage have seen densification in spite of their location/design. These are extremely unpleasant places to live without a car.I am always skepitcal of these claims and projections. It has been over 10 years since Westbrook station was built, and there has been zero movement on any significant development there. Same with most of the West LRT. We have about 3-4 partially built (not enough to even say half) TODs on the red line as well, and that has been in place since the 80s. The Brentwood TOD plan has been a thing for 14 years now, and it is maybe 15% complete. Why are we further diluting our TOD lands, in the hopes that it will somehow spur even more?
In other words, it would only make the SE quadrant sprawl even faster. Seton will be fully developed much sooner. I can see that happening.It's one thing to justify it as brining mass transit to multiple neighbourhoods, that is fine. But if part of the justification is "build it and we will see all sorts of redevelopment", I am skepitcal, based entirely past history/performance. We recently had JEMM withdraw a relatively simple TOD application in Shaganappi, due to the lack of support for it from the community and local councillor. This is also after the same community killed at SDAB a mixed use building at the corner of Bow and 26th, directly next to the LRT station. I can't imagine the existing communities in the north-central will be any more welcoming, making redevelopment any easier.
It's absolutely not a white elephant. It will spawn significant developments along the route and those will all be transit-oriented neighbourhoods. It will also be the only LRT route in the city that wasn't built along a major car sewer (Crowchild, 36 St NE, Macleod, and 17 Ave SW). Even those very poorly-located LRT lines have seen significant densification in the past decade. Victoria Park, Ramsay, and Lynnwood all stand to become some of the best neighbourhoods in the city.
Building a mass transit line through a city centre is incredibly difficult, but once it's done, it becomes significantly easier to expand it further into the suburbs. We can't let perfect be the enemy of the very good.
1. To the extent that there hasn't been a lot of TOD on existing lines likely has a lot to do with the fact that these stations were designed to be "park-and-ride". They're almost all along giant car sewers and surrounded by service roads and parking lots. The fact is, that there are very few stations that can accommodate TOD on the existing system. Stations like Brentwood and Heritage have seen densification in spite of their location/design. These are extremely unpleasant places to live without a car.
2. In terms of Westbrook station, partly this is due to the fact that all the land is owned by a single developer that is just sitting on it. However, there is a clear transformation going on along 17 Ave and 33 St in Killarney. Would that development have occurred even without the LRT? Probably not. But even if it did, it would have been a neighbourhood without access to mass transportation.
3. I really, really don't understand the idea of "diluting" TOD lands. Are we supposed to be trying to restrict the number of neighbourhoods with access to mass transit?