trtcttc
Active Member
Also no expert, but how it was explained to me was - A low vacancy rate is great for purpose built rentals, but for condo/home sales, the future value doesn't really matter. Developers usually start selling the pre-construction a few years before breaking ground, and as they reach their profitability sales threshold they break ground. Rising interest rates are huge because buyers only pay 5-10% before the building is finished, so a large portion of developer's costs are financed. As their cost rise they have to either levy extra charges to the buyers that already purchased (depending on the contract structure) or make the still selling units much more expensive. As costs/interest rate rises, that threshold becomes higher and higher so construction stalls.I'm not an expert in real estate development, but I will pass along information that I was told this weekend by someone in that field. I was told that the interest rate plays a far higher role than the vacancy rate, when looking to develop these projects, and that's why many of them aren't moving as expected. I was also told it's not the case for all projects, but is for many.
Whatever the case, I hope we see some of these proposals break ground. There are less and less housing options out there as the housing starts aren't keeping up with population growth.