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Calgary & Alberta Economy

The question on Voter Intentions for Sovereignty surprised me a bit. Surprised that other provinces were quite high, Sask/MB, Ont, Que, that over a third would vote that way.

I'm not necessary surprised that voter intentions are lower than the number who support the idea. It's one thing to support an idea and another to actually pull the trigger.
 
Surrealplaces said:
The question on Voter Intentions for Sovereignty surprised me a bit. Surprised that other provinces were quite high, Sask/MB, Ont, Que, that over a third would vote that way.

I'm not necessary surprised that voter intentions are lower than the number who support the idea. It's one thing to support an idea and another to actually pull the trigger.
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In Alberta the sample is 303 people... With 171 of those being weighted to try and get a somewhat accurate sample of the population. What is the margin of error on that? I'd also like to see those 303 people's definition of sovereignty. How many know what that word means? If they used a term like, "your province becoming its own country", what would the result be?

As many (38%) strongly opposed as somewhat either way (39%). Less than a fifth of those 303 (around 60 people, it is weighted and unweighted so who knows the actual number) strongly support sovereignty and/or whatever that means to them.

I'm sorry but this is a nothing burger that is being blown up into some constitutional crisis.
 
Hopefully the UCP can tread on the line carefully. I don't think Smith or people in her government actually want this, but it is a political reality where they need to win votes. Having a referendum fail is probably their ideal outcome - give the people the vote and avoided any consequences. But just ask David Cameron how fickle public opinion is and how quickly a vote to quell internal dissent turns into a generational mistake.
 
trtcttc said:
Hopefully the UCP can tread on the line carefully. I don't think Smith or people in her government actually want this, but it is a political reality where they need to win votes. Having a referendum fail is probably their ideal outcome - give the people the vote and avoided any consequences. But just ask David Cameron how fickle public opinion is and how quickly a vote to quell internal dissent turns into a generational mistake.
Click to expand...
The overconfidence in the Brexit vote result reminds me of how confident local boosters in Calgary were of a Yes vote for the Olympics.
 
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