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Calgary & Alberta Economy

The question on Voter Intentions for Sovereignty surprised me a bit. Surprised that other provinces were quite high, Sask/MB, Ont, Que, that over a third would vote that way.

I'm not necessary surprised that voter intentions are lower than the number who support the idea. It's one thing to support an idea and another to actually pull the trigger.
 
The question on Voter Intentions for Sovereignty surprised me a bit. Surprised that other provinces were quite high, Sask/MB, Ont, Que, that over a third would vote that way.

I'm not necessary surprised that voter intentions are lower than the number who support the idea. It's one thing to support an idea and another to actually pull the trigger.
In Alberta the sample is 303 people... With 171 of those being weighted to try and get a somewhat accurate sample of the population. What is the margin of error on that? I'd also like to see those 303 people's definition of sovereignty. How many know what that word means? If they used a term like, "your province becoming its own country", what would the result be?

As many (38%) strongly opposed as somewhat either way (39%). Less than a fifth of those 303 (around 60 people, it is weighted and unweighted so who knows the actual number) strongly support sovereignty and/or whatever that means to them.

I'm sorry but this is a nothing burger that is being blown up into some constitutional crisis.
 
Hopefully the UCP can tread on the line carefully. I don't think Smith or people in her government actually want this, but it is a political reality where they need to win votes. Having a referendum fail is probably their ideal outcome - give the people the vote and avoided any consequences. But just ask David Cameron how fickle public opinion is and how quickly a vote to quell internal dissent turns into a generational mistake.
 
Hopefully the UCP can tread on the line carefully. I don't think Smith or people in her government actually want this, but it is a political reality where they need to win votes. Having a referendum fail is probably their ideal outcome - give the people the vote and avoided any consequences. But just ask David Cameron how fickle public opinion is and how quickly a vote to quell internal dissent turns into a generational mistake.
The overconfidence in the Brexit vote result reminds me of how confident local boosters in Calgary were of a Yes vote for the Olympics.
 
Kind of related to my post above this one. I decided for kicks to look at Venture Capital numbers for Calgary over recent years. There always seems to be good news stories about VC for Calgary, and a look over previous years seems to confirm this is the case. Calgary's still a ways behind the big three, but on a per capita basis is doing about the same as Montreal, and much better than similar sized cities Edmonton and Ottawa. Kitchener Waterloo punches quite a bit above its weight, no surprise there.

venture capital.png

Source 2022 Source 2023 Source 2024


Calgary's VC boom seems to be more of a recent thing, as 2019 - 2021 is a bit of a different picture. The stats for 2019-2021 is from a different organization, so not an apples to apples comparison, but it's something to go by.

venture capital2a.png

Source
 
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So it’s not my imagination that Calgary is doing well for startups. Is most of this venture capital money going to oil and gas? I’m curious what types of businesses are starting up.
 

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