Statscan numbers

[Mountain Man]

in 2050 I'd expect 2.5 million in the city and 3 million in the region.

 

[Albertasaurus]

I'm going to be bullish and predict a metro population of 3 million in 2050. I don't expect us to keep growing at nearly 100,000 a year like we have seen the last couple years, but I could see sustained growth of 30-40,000 annually, especially with us being one of the primary destinations for immigrants.

 

[UrbanWarrior]

I’d put our long term growth between 40 and 60 k a year, but could be higher, I don’t imagine lower other than if an unforeseen catastrophe happens.

An average of 50,000 a year over the next 26 years is a growth of 1.3 million, add in the Foothills which will be added to the CMA by then, we’d be looking at about 3.3 million by 2050. However, the next couple years are likely to stick around 90 to 100k a year, so more like 3.5 million by 2050.

 

[Surrealplaces]

My guess is we'll probably be close to 2 Million by 2030 even without Foothills. With Foothills we'll easily be at 2 Million by then. Past 2030 and onward will be interesting. Oil and Gas won't disappear anytime soon, but it will continue its decline and at some point will hit a fairly sharp decline. Could be 10 years away, could be 20 years away who knows.

 

[Albertasaurus]

Hopefully our level of economic diversification has reached a point where a downturn in O&G will be much easier to weather than it has been in the past. It certainly seems like there are a lot of different drivers to our growth this time around.

My apologies, I'm probably going on about stuff better suited to the Statscan thread...

 

[Chinook Arch]

Odds are good that it will double again in 20 years. It's getting to a critical mass now.

Sounds about right. 50K is probably the critical mass needed to make the Beltline its own independent mini city.

 

[Chinook Arch]

That said, different areas have different growth rates. Downtown and Beltline have been growing at 2-3x the citywide average for the past 20 years. Maintain that trend and will see a 50,000 person Beltline, and an urban walkable core inner city of several hundred thousand. We will see new denser clusters emerge of walkability and urban vibes, such as the new larger proposals in Marda Loop, university district and others.

Meet Urbgary, population 100k and its satellite cities, the Midgarys, total population 250k

 

[Chinese_T]

The Three Skylines - The Triad