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Calgary International Airport

I haven't updated these in a while; here's the monthly pax numbers versus a pre-covid trend projection including seasonality and linear growth:
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International has been the big success, with a lot more summer traffic than the prepandemic trend - more even travel year-round; on the other hand, domestic and transborder are still below the pre-pandemic trend. I suspect this drop is just a long-term effect of Teams, Zoom and the rest normalizing more business being done virtually. This is what it's going to be now.

Based on these recent trends, my guess for 2025 is 13.22M domestic, 3.97M transborder and 2.46M international for a total of 19.65M pax.

However, my guess is that we'll likely underachieve this target. I suspect transborder will have a hit from the nonsense down there; I've had three conversations in the past two weeks where different people have talked about reluctance to travel to the US. In principle that means domestic might benefit as people in other provinces come here for holidays; in practice economic uncertainty leads to less spending on nice things like luxury travel. Internationally, who knows -- on one hand, maybe Banff seems like a less-crazy alternative to Yellowstone; on the other hand, I suspect some international visitors are combining Canada and US travel, and might just go to the Alps or Mt Fuji instead.
Thanks for the great data and charts! Cool trends.

Regarding transborder, there’s increasing smoke - surveys all say travel intent has dropped dramatically, now even Westjet is reporting 25% drop in bookings.

That kind of drop in trans-border is massive, we will have to see how sustained it actually is in practice. But with enough smoke - surveys, anecdotes, now airlines all saying US travel is plummeting - perhaps we are witnessing an actual fire?


https://www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti...g-to-fly-to-us-since-tariff-talk-started-ceo/
 
From the article...

the Canada Infrastructure Bank is committing $172 million, providing co-financing to the authority for several projects, including this development.

From earlier in the article...

The Calgary Airport Authority will build and own the new 150,000-square-foot engine maintenance and test facility on its land, expected to cost about $120 million.

That's 52 million that the authority has to do other things, like a central security area. So maybe it is happening.
 
The centralized screening is officially announced. Assuming it'll be located where B security was, so they can keep A/C open during construction. Plan is for end of 2025 for 7 lanes and 2 more by 2027. Not sure why it'll take two years to add 2 more lanes. Hopefully they re-use the security A/B area to add more food/lounge options to the airport.

 
The centralized screening is officially announced. Assuming it'll be located where B security was, so they can keep A/C open during construction. Plan is for end of 2025 for 7 lanes and 2 more by 2027. Not sure why it'll take two years to add 2 more lanes. Hopefully they re-use the security A/B area to add more food/lounge options to the airport.

I was at the airport on the weekend. Most of the pre security area by B security is boarded up, and it sounded like a bunch of demolition was going on behind (They might be working 24/7, I was in the airport near midnight coming in from a flight).
Somehow, they have kept the B security open with a narrow walkway between the boarded-up sections. I imagine that in the last few months of construction, they will need to close it to integrate the area, though.
 
I was at the airport on the weekend. Most of the pre security area by B security is boarded up, and it sounded like a bunch of demolition was going on behind (They might be working 24/7, I was in the airport near midnight coming in from a flight).
Somehow, they have kept the B security open with a narrow walkway between the boarded-up sections. I imagine that in the last few months of construction, they will need to close it to integrate the area, though.
The open part of B security is staff only I believe, the main security area has been closed since the concourse B hail damage a few months back. Unless they reopened it recently? But that seems odd with Concourse B still closed.
 
Over the past week, WS has gradually increased KEF from 4x weekly to daily in peak summer (June 26-August 30).

Additionally, LGA is currently only bookable in full fare W / Y class. Also I just noticed that SAN is actually 9x weekly this summer, with a 2nd flight on Thu / Sun.
 
Over the past week, WS has gradually increased KEF from 4x weekly to daily in peak summer (June 26-August 30).

Additionally, LGA is currently only bookable in full fare W / Y class. Also I just noticed that SAN is actually 9x weekly this summer, with a 2nd flight on Thu / Sun.
Nice to see an non-American destination get an increase.
 

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