Calgary has done a great job in the past in building it's LRT system to be as great as it is. Especially for a city at the population of it's time. But as the city continues to grow, and it's aspirations grow higher with each passing decade, so should the way we view the LRT, and rapid transit in general in this city. It's not the 90s anymore, and I think the general consensus is transit isn't exclusively about getting people from the suburbs to work downtown, but getting people moving around the city as a whole in general, and taking them to destinations where it's can be an attractive alternative to using a car.
When the first concept of NCLRT was imagined back when the LRT was in it's inception, it was following the philosophy of that day. To and from downtown, get to the suburbs, and capture major destinations along the way if you can. The NC Nose Creek line would do the same thing, since there isn't necessarily major destinations between downtown to Beddington Blvd. But that could be short sighted thinking, considering the city recognizes that they want Centre Street up to about 40 Ave to be a main street. If it was to amount to it's potential, it would become an area that could be trip generator, but the Nose Creek alignment would miss it completely. But even if that didn't pan out for whatever reason, there is still a large volume of customers that could be walking distance away from the train station that would be riders, as the current ridership for the buses that go down Centre Street show. I think it makes a lot of sense to put a LRT line on what is the biggest passenger volume corridor by bus in the city. I'm guessing it does better numbers than the West LRT as a whole. It's also why I want NCLRT first before SE, but I digress. But there's a reason it was recommended to switch to Centre Street a decade ago. It's where the people are.
If you bypass that high ridership and potential TOD corridor, then I feel it's adopting the philosophy of how to build transit from back in the 80s. I look at the NW LRT, and it does a great job at servicing the suburban communities, but it missed the mark when it came to servicing probably the most relevant area in all of the NW, the university HUB. It services the campus on the east end, as well as McMahon Stadium and the University Innovation Park (which isn't much presently), but the newly emerged crown jewel of the area in the University District doesn't get served. It also misses the 2nd biggest mall in the city in Market Mall, as well as the main hospital and medical school of the city in Foothills Hospital (as well Children's Hospital) are also absent of LRT service due to the LRT being too far away. If we were to build the NW LRT today, would we do it differently where those institutions, community, and mall would have stations before it heads NW on Crowchild Trail? It likely would be more expensive, but it would better serve the NW as a whole is the assumption right?
Centre Street doesn't offer those type of trip generators obviously, but again, it serves more than Nose Creek would.
For the SE part of the city, there's no way to get to down to the suburban cluster of that city without taking a long journey through the industrial region of the city to get down to there. For NC going up centre street, it's exclusively residents and main street corridors as soon as you cross the river. It would serve more purpose than just getting customers from the deep north to downtown, or transferring to a different line. It could spur development, business, and community building along the line. I would also assume that when it comes to feeder buses for these stations, the Centre Street alignment is more favorable once again over Nose Creek due to routes taking more of a straight-line/through path rather than a last mile circuitous end point route to reach the Nose Creek stations.
Now I said a lot there with a lot of assumptions of why I would think Centre Street is better. But ultimately I'm just guessing.
What we really need the city to show they are actually serious about the North Central by actually fulfilling a functional design study of NCLRT going up Centre Street, and getting a clearer gauge of what it would cost to build it, and see how it would compare to Nose Creek. Naturally I think Nose Creek would be cheaper, but if Centre Street is not that much more expensive, then there would likely be more value for that. But this is all moot if the city isn't going to invest into making this a reality in the near future.
If Calgary is going to be the city it wants to be, and be acknowledged in the top 4 Canadian city ranks of the Toronto's, Vancouver's, and Montreal's, then it can't be intimidated by complex projects that aren't cheap. Getting sticker shock from high price tags shouldn't restrain them from building an effect transit system that aligns with improving the density, affordability, and mobility of the city and it's citizens.