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Alberta Provincial Politics

If an election was held today, who would you vote for?

  • UCP

    Votes: 9 13.8%
  • NDP

    Votes: 47 72.3%
  • Liberal

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Alberta Party

    Votes: 4 6.2%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 5 7.7%

  • Total voters
    65
We don't save money when vaccine rates drop due to the difficulty and cost to get one and leads to more cases, including more hospitalizations, complications and deaths - all of which are outcomes many times more costly to the public than any "vaccine waste" costs. Making vaccine access easy to the broad population is the core part of preventative medicine which is torpedoed by this approach.

Smith's position is that these higher actual costs - a sicker population, more citizens dead and spending more money in the long-run for far more expensive medical interventions that could have been prevented - are worth it, because they are easier to hide in a complex medical system and she can seem anti-vaccine to the people who matter to her.

With a mostly UCP-aligned media system, it'll be pretty easy to push to a low-information public next year that the higher-than-expected hospitalization costs and more preventable deaths is really an example of AHS' "mis-management" instead of government direction to not prevent disease. Yet more evidence to push to reform/privatize the system more.

An ounce of ideology is worth far more than a pound of prevention or a tonne of a cure, to distort the expression a bit to fit this government's approach.


The number of vaccines wasted last was given to be $40 or $50M, so about half of the cost of that shady sole-sourced Tylenol scam for her buddy which cost some $80M.

Note the waste she's referencing is from 2024, a year where AHS was all by banned from advertising or promoting the vaccine program in any way.
I got the vaccine last year and plan to this year, and I do support vaccine mandates when we are in a health emergency. But the recommendation from NACI is far less strong and they only recommend the access, rather than the giving of the shots to healthy individuals not at increased risk. I think "May" should mean being able sign up to receive at no cost, but it's far from recommending shots for everyone.

 
The UCP never hesitate to rail against other levels of government for not staying in their lane, this party and their leader are all over the road. Nenshi has not been an affective opposition, we're capital F, Fucked! Now and I'll say even in this next election. Nothing seems to stick to the UCP or their leader. I'll give them credit though, they're very good at keeping their base on side, no matter how offside they are of people who don't vote for them anyways, they never go so far as to turn off their base.
 
The old school big tent PC types like Guthrie at least are turning. And the extreme fringe that are turning to the Alberta Republican party. I agree Nenshi’s been pretty invisible. He needs to find his passion again. His clear annoyance and snark towards Smith hurts more than helps though it is fully understandable to feel that way,
 
The UcPee cites RFK Jr’s HHS department’s ‘recommendations’ on covid vaccines on the AHS website. Think about that. They aren’t citing Health Canada. Fuck Danielle Smith! I hope she catches ebola or something.
Do you have a source? Seems like these sources are all citing Health Canada.


 
The UCP never hesitate to rail against other levels of government for not staying in their lane, this party and their leader are all over the road. Nenshi has not been an affective opposition, we're capital F, Fucked! Now and I'll say even in this next election. Nothing seems to stick to the UCP or their leader. I'll give them credit though, they're very good at keeping their base on side, no matter how offside they are of people who don't vote for them anyways, they never go so far as to turn off their base.
As we get closer to the election I suspect we'll hear more from Nenshi, but I agree, he's been pretty quiet for the most part.

If I were Nenshi, my spin would be playing to the parallels with Smith/UCP and MAGA. The UCP has had a fair bit of support here in Calgary due to many people (rightly or wrongly) thinking it would be better for the economy or oil industry, but a lot of those voters don't like Trump and Maga.
 
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There is an economic argument to be made against the UCP. I mean even ATCO came out and said WTF to the separation stuff the UCP was pedalling. The problem is the NDP making that argument is hollo to any economic voter.

It is interesting that people are not tired of the almost constant stories coming out of the UCP good and/or bad. Normally people get tired of hearing from their politicians, somehow she seems to escape that criticism.

It's really those two reasons why I think there will be an election sooner than later: NDP not being seen as having a credible economic argument, and Smith's ability to just be unscathed by anything.

Not to mention that fact that the political right isn't divided so the NDP will be the boogeyman. The UCP can easily renew their mandate and stay in power, they'll need a reason to go early, and I think Carney might give them a reason. Whether it is even a slight opposition to a UCP/"Alberta" ask or even if he gives them everything the UCP will want to sell an election as a strengthening of the UCP/"Alberta" position.
 
Not to mention that fact that the political right isn't divided
I think the right is quite divided, Ms Trump just seems to be holding it together. I'm curious if the proposal to resurrect the PC Party will gain any traction. The UCP seems to control that name still, so it will be interesting to see what happens.
 
There is an economic argument to be made against the UCP. I mean even ATCO came out and said WTF to the separation stuff the UCP was pedalling. The problem is the NDP making that argument is hollo to any economic voter.

It is interesting that people are not tired of the almost constant stories coming out of the UCP good and/or bad. Normally people get tired of hearing from their politicians, somehow she seems to escape that criticism.

It's really those two reasons why I think there will be an election sooner than later: NDP not being seen as having a credible economic argument, and Smith's ability to just be unscathed by anything.

Not to mention that fact that the political right isn't divided so the NDP will be the boogeyman. The UCP can easily renew their mandate and stay in power, they'll need a reason to go early, and I think Carney might give them a reason. Whether it is even a slight opposition to a UCP/"Alberta" ask or even if he gives them everything the UCP will want to sell an election as a strengthening of the UCP/"Alberta" position.
Agreed about the economy. I'm not saying the UCP is necessarily better for the economy, but there are voters who feel that way, some of those people I know personally, but I also know they don't want to leave confederation, and don't want separate pensions etc.. They also hate the tariffs. I think the NDP can win over those types of voters if they can keep up with the comparisons of the Smith/UCP to Trump/MAGA.
 
It was on the site when we went to order Covid shots for the kids. My wife was the one who found it. It was a comment that ‘healthy kids’ don’t require the shot which cited the US department headed by RFK without naming him.
 
As we get closer to the election I suspect we'll hear more from Nenshi, but I agree, he's been pretty quiet for the most part.

If I were Nenshi, my spin would be playing to the parallels with Smith/UCP and MAGA. The UCP has had a fair bit of support here in Calgary due to many people (rightly or wrongly) thinking it would be better for the economy or oil industry, but a lot of those voters don't like Trump and Maga.
It's hard to get any traction as opposition leader. Most people in other provinces probably can't even name their opposition leaders. Rachel Notley spent her career building her name recognition, Nenshi has the benefit of Calgary knowing him, but hard to do much this far from an election.

I think the right is quite divided, Ms Trump just seems to be holding it together. I'm curious if the proposal to resurrect the PC Party will gain any traction. The UCP seems to control that name still, so it will be interesting to see what happens.
They'll need to lose control of the right flank. If there is a serious separation referendum (to most everyday people not watching politics closely, it is not serious yet), and actual changes to the CPP, there will be more splits of the traditional PC. It's also important to note, the UCP have already lost a lot of PC voters to the NDP. Notley had a higher percentage of the vote in 2023 than she did in 2015. So the PC base isn't all in the UCP anymore, but spread across UCP and NDP, which means they won't get traction unless they have a very appealing candidate or can differentiate themselves, which I don't see the two MLAs doing.
 
It was on the site when we went to order Covid shots for the kids. My wife was the one who found it. It was a comment that ‘healthy kids’ don’t require the shot which cited the US department headed by RFK without naming him.
I went through the booking process and was unable to find the link. I disagree with this vaccine policy but it's not some MAGA/Trump conspiracy.

 

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