One thing about Canadian elections, they are damned unpredictable.
Federal election in the US: The Dems are at 50% and the GOP is at 48%, as it has been for the last 20 years. The outcome all depends on turnout in Milwaukee, Atlanta, and Philadelphia.
2021 Federal election in Canada: The Liberals were poised to win a majority until they called the election, and then they lost 10 points in under a week.
2015 Federal election in Canada: Justin Trudeau leapfrogs from third place over Harper and Mulcair to win a majority.
2011 Federal election in Canada: The Bloc loses 90% of their seats as Quebec votes en masse for the NDP, but only for that one single election.
1984 Federal election in Canada: Brian Mulroney says "you had an option, sir" in a debate and wins one of the biggest majorities in Canadian history, ending 20 years of Liberal dominance.