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US Politics

Sooooo, any predictions for tonight‘s election?
Harris will win it. It'll be close in some states, but she'll win Pennsylvania by about 40,000 votes, and that'll get her the presidency. I'm not worried about Trump winning, I'm more worried about any civil discourse after he loses and complains that the elections was fraudulent. The authorities need to come down hard on anybody rioting or storming buildings after the eventual claim that the election was stolen.
 
I'm not worried about civil disorder really. It will be more apparent this time around, but it is easy to not recall that there were multiple domestic terrorist attacks (bombs at federal buildings or large events) in the mid 90s alongside multiple 'militia' type group sieges and bombs through the mail. Even then I think it is the worst case, as even getting up to a level of Irish troubles level of unrest is hard as unrest will be isolated and relatively easy to manage. I don't see the capacity existing/ the wherewithal to organize with the security necessary (no radio or internet coms) to be sustainable and effective at scale. The trust between small groups to move from individual action to coordinated unrest is very high.
 

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