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Statscan numbers

1768413203520.png

I put it into a quick table, if anyone's interested.
 
The Calgary Economic Region already incorporates Okotoks and the population is 1.955 million.

Annual demographic estimates, economic regions: Interactive dashboard

This interactive dashboard can be used to visualize the factors of population growth and how they have changed over time for economic regions. The dashboard shows population, population growth, factors of population growth (natural increase, international migration, interprovincial migration...
www150.statcan.gc.ca www150.statcan.gc.ca
 
kora said:
I have a feeling that in the coming years, maybe in a decade, Calgary will often be at the top of this list
Click to expand...
For all the talk of interprovincial migration, it was international that drove most of the growth. I'd think Vancouver/Toronto skew more short term/student visa immigrants, whereas we have more families and those that can settle long term, but the reduction in immigration will affect all areas. And as Toronto/Vancouver lose residents and housing become more affordable, growth will return to those places.

I don't think anyone would've looked at that 2020/2021 chart and thought Calgary was going to undergo a historical surge in population over the next 4 years. These things seems to change quickly, and I think it'd be good for the city/province to get a breather especially as we'll be under some fiscal pressure with the oil price.
1768419378222.png
 
trtcttc said:
For all the talk of interprovincial migration, it was international that drove most of the growth. I'd think Vancouver/Toronto skew more short term/student visa immigrants, whereas we have more families and those that can settle long term, but the reduction in immigration will affect all areas. And as Toronto/Vancouver lose residents and housing become more affordable, growth will return to those places.
Click to expand...
I’m not sure that’s going to happen. Vancouver will never be affordable, Toronto, maybe will.
The difference going forward into the future compared to the past is that immigrants used to come to Toronto and Vancouver almost exclusively, but the trend has changed and will continue to change. it’s not just the cost of housing. Now that Canada‘s top 20 or so biggest metros have large immigrant communities, more immigrants will be settling to the cities.
Toronto and Vancouver will still receive more immigrants than the average city, but the immigrants will be more spread out now and there won’t be the extreme differences we’ve seen in the past.
Cities like Calgary, Edmonton, and Ottawa are going to consistently have higher growth on a percentage basis.
Less in raw numbers, but the spread will be much less than it was in the past.
 
Housing prices are unlikely to drop as much as expected in Toronto and Vancouver and I suspect the economy is shifting towards a commodities upcycle, less immigration driven growth and less government operational deficit driven growth.
 
You may be right, and a broadly agree cities like Calgary have a critical mass such that immigrating here is not that challenging. But it's really difficult to predict immigration patterns. Toronto and Vancouver may not be affordable, but they weren't affordable in 2019 when Calgary was losing residents and those cities were growing like crazy.
DougB said:
Ottawa is surprisingly high as would have expected government cuts and student visa expiries to bite.
Click to expand...
I believe this is aligned to July 1, 2025, so a lot of those effects are still making their way through the numbers. Should also mention that a RTO mandate from the government is also going to drive migration in for people that left during COVID but is coming back to keep their jobs.
 
Some really interesting numbers! Biggest surprises for me:
-Edmonton is growing even faster than Calgary in percentage terms, and will overtake Ottawa very soon.
-Did we ever expect to see a day when Winnipeg and Montreal were growing much faster than Toronto and Vancouver?
-Winnipeg is only a few years away from hitting a million. Canada will soon have at least 7, and possibly as many as 9 cities over the big "million" milestone.
-Surprisingly slow growth for KW.
 
kora said:
The Calgary Economic Region already incorporates Okotoks and the population is 1.955 million.

Annual demographic estimates, economic regions: Interactive dashboard

This interactive dashboard can be used to visualize the factors of population growth and how they have changed over time for economic regions. The dashboard shows population, population growth, factors of population growth (natural increase, international migration, interprovincial migration...
www150.statcan.gc.ca www150.statcan.gc.ca
Click to expand...
Calgary's economic region is basically the CMA, plus Foothills, but doesn't include Strathmore. I suppose they'll end up adding it once DE Havilland field is running.
 
Housing starts for 2025. Montreal edges out Calgary, with Vancouver and Toronto not far behind. I have to say, it has been an impressive year, given it's a new record, and impressive for a city of Calgary's size.

CitySFHsemirowapartmenttotal
Montreal1,3473748332522327777
Calgary6688238437911482127684
Vancouver2138151216912184427185
Toronto325712837161898626087
Edmonton6612151030641015121337
Ott/Gat11753531973888312984
 
Maaannnnn that stings, got edged out by less than a hundred starts?! 🤣😂 Still amazing though.

Also, again, what the everloving frig is going on with Ottawa? They’re the only major city outside of Alberta that’s still growing according to StatCan, but barely building by comparison…
 
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