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Statscan numbers

It's hard to predict something so far off, but I feel those numbers are realistic. If you had asked me 20 years ago, I would have predicted Calgary and Edmonton to be about the same population, or Edmonton having a higher population due to a predicted decline in the oil and gas industry. Things are different now though.
1) The decline in oil will be a slower more drawn out process, and much of that decline has already happened and Calgary was affected, but not to the extend many thought would happen.
2) Gas will still carry on for a while, and although it too will decline it's decline will be slower than Oil's decline.
3) 20 years ago the provincial government and even the federal government were generating far more jobs in Edmonton than Calgary, but this isn't the case anymore. Still more provincial jobs in Edmonton, the the gap has narrowed as jobs are now being spread out more around the province. Same for Federal jobs.
4) Over the past 20 years Calgary created a whole new industry for itself, in distribution, warehousing, transportation and aviation and has taken over as the dominant hub for the prairies and also can be argued for the whole of western Canada.
5) In recent years Calgary has become the 4th largest recipient of Venture Capital money for Canadian metros, and about 90% of Alberta's VC money goes to Calgary. I don't see a lot of change in that area anytime soon.
6) Some other intangibles like a much better connected airport, and proximity to the Rockies also help more than people think.

I don't want this to come across as a Calgary boosterism post, but these are things that are factoring into Calgary's growth.
Good summary. You could also add that Calgary has turned itself into the IT hub of the prairies. I don’t have any numbers ready, but I remember seeing Calgary was the fastest growing in western Canada as a tech hub.
 
Good summary. You could also add that Calgary has turned itself into the IT hub of the prairies. I don’t have any numbers ready, but I remember seeing Calgary was the fastest growing in western Canada as a tech hub.
It might have been this post. I'll copy and paste the numbers here for sake of ease. Calgary had the highest growth percentage wise among the major metros. Calgary is still a ways behind the the big 3 and Ottawa in raw numbers, but has easily taken over the title of tech hub for the prairies, having more tech workers than all the other prairie cities combined.



North American RankCityNumber of WorkersEmployment Growth 2021-2024
3Toronto334,20014.7%
7Kitchener Waterloo39,40058.2%
10Vancouver125,1005.2%
11Ottawa95,90013.2%
15Montreal154,9006.9%
17Calgary64,60061.1%
43Edmonton32,300-1.2%
UnrankedWinnipeg21,00010%

Source
 
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Seeing as we're on a Calgary boosterism roll, here are some links to articles relating to Calgary's tech industry mostly from 2023-2024, and doesn't include any recent related news, but gives you man idea of how much activity there is in the industry in one year.


 
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It's hard to predict something so far off, but I feel those numbers are realistic. If you had asked me 20 years ago, I would have predicted Calgary and Edmonton to be about the same population, or Edmonton having a higher population due to a predicted decline in the oil and gas industry. Things are different now though.
1) The decline in oil will be a slower more drawn out process, and much of that decline has already happened and Calgary was affected, but not to the extend many thought would happen.
2) Gas will still carry on for a while, and although it too will decline it's decline will be slower than Oil's decline.
3) 20 years ago the provincial government and even the federal government were generating far more jobs in Edmonton than Calgary, but this isn't the case anymore. Still more provincial jobs in Edmonton, the the gap has narrowed as jobs are now being spread out more around the province. Same for Federal jobs.
4) Over the past 20 years Calgary created a whole new industry for itself, in distribution, warehousing, transportation and aviation and has taken over as the dominant hub for the prairies and also can be argued for the whole of western Canada.
5) In recent years Calgary has become the 4th largest recipient of Venture Capital money for Canadian metros, and about 90% of Alberta's VC money goes to Calgary. I don't see a lot of change in that area anytime soon.
6) Some other intangibles like a much better connected airport, and proximity to the Rockies also help more than people think.

I don't want this to come across as an Calgary boosterism post, but these are things that are factoring into Calgary's growth.
Good summary. You could also add that Calgary has turned itself into the IT hub of the prairies. I don’t have any numbers ready, but I remember seeing Calgary was the fastest growing in western Canada as a tech hub.
You could also add a Fintech industry that has sprung up rapidly in recent years.
 

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