I'm going with 17K this year. I would say 17K as an educated guess given intl immigration and the natural increase of the city. +9,000 for natural increase, and +8,000 net intl immigration. Break even for inter-provincial migration.
I couldn't agree more in regards to things not working in the growth pattern. Surreal is right in that some innercity communities, namely downtown and east village did well however the beltline, mission, and inglewood are seriously disappointing.Personally I’m a little disappointed with this years census. It’s great to see we’re still growing healthy in times like this but the growth this year is kind of disappointing compared to last year. The numbers fall short even from the cities own outlook perspective in their 2019 spring edition journal. On top of that the inner city growth was the biggest downside for me, after a strong year from the Beltline it was the newer suburb communities leading the way in growth this year. In addition, our housing vacancy rate went up slightly compared to last year. I think the late last year oil crash may have spooked a lot of people. From the recent data in areas like employment and housing starts as well as a couple pipelines going ahead, I’m hoping for stronger growth next year! One things for sure, whatever city hall is doing to grow the inner city it’s not working effectively enough and I suggest they get back to the drawing.
1. Mainstreets: the mainstreets project is not dense enough or fast enough. For example, 16th ave N is completed and rezoned, 17th Ave N is still only Mc2, which is not dense enough for being a block off a main corrider, close to SAIT and ACAD and the train. I love the idea of the project however it's just not enough to actually get enough urban mass.