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2018 Municipal Census Results

Surrealplaces

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Hard to believe it's already that time of year again. access codes for on-line feedback were mailed out on March 28th and door to door takers being April 20th.

Any guesses on what the numbers will be this year?


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10,000 natural growth
10,000 net migration

Does the forumer with the closest prediction get a special award? A bolded avatar for one week?
 
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23,363

It's a number that I feel possesses the correct aesthetics to be Calgary's growth over the last year.
 
We talking municipal or metro growth?

I'm thinking around 20 - 22 000 city, 30 000 metro.
 
Just municipal growth. I'm going to go with 21,000 I figure the number will be somewhere right in the range of 19K-23K
 
My guess is 15K overall. Growth will be better than last year based on the most recent Statscan estimates, but I don't expect it to be above 20K.
 
Another question will be the Beltline population. Versus and 6th and 10th will have added some people this year, so I'm going with a nice round number of 22,250 up 292 from 21,958.
 
Interesting in that report to see that every age group between 15-34 is shrinking.
 
Kind of disappointing, I thought it would be more like 15 to 20K, however in end it is only population growth. It is what it is.
I’m not surprised at all that the 15 to 34 years of age demographic has been shrinking. A lot of the young, unskilled construction workers that have left for other cities are in that demographic. It’s also the demographic where people are more likely to not to be married with children and have roots. It’s easier for them to take a job in another city.


The City of Calgary (Corporate Economics) thinks it's only going to be 12,400.

See page 43
http://www.calgary.ca/cfod/finance/...y-and-Region-Economic-Outlook-2018-Spring.pdf
 
Good sign for the Calgary region as Airdrie's boom shows no sign of slowing down. At this rate they will hit 100,000 people in 10 years.

Population from municipal census:
2018: 68,091
2017: 64,922
2008: 34,116

I think this may also represent a fundamental shift in regional growth patterns. As "growth management" bureaucracy and higher prices curtail population growth in the City of Calgary, growth shifts to the outer municipalities. We may be seeing a permanent change in the 80-20 growth split that we're used to seeing when comparing the City of Calgary versus our suburban/rural neighbours.

2018 Official census results, City of Airdrie
https://www.airdrie.ca/index.cfm?serviceID=1090&ID=613
 

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