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  1. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary International Airport

    I haven't updated these in a while; here's the monthly pax numbers versus a pre-covid trend projection including seasonality and linear growth: International has been the big success, with a lot more summer traffic than the prepandemic trend - more even travel year-round; on the other...
  2. ByeByeBaby

    Urban Development and Proposals Discussion

    First the practical parts - it has to be in an industrial area. A bus barn is a maintenance facility and a fuelling station, meaning inevitably fuel spills and various other chemicals. It also needs roads engineered to handle substantial heavy traffic, and it makes a bad neighbour; who would...
  3. ByeByeBaby

    Rivers Edge | 20m | 6s | GBS | NORR

    Looked great at sunset yesterday evening.
  4. ByeByeBaby

    Urban Development and Proposals Discussion

    This is in the Route Ahead report; the downtown bus barns have about 15% of fleet capacity (courtesy cptdb.ca), with 10% of the capacity at Anderson colocated with the LRT barn, 35% of the capacity at Spring Gardens 10 min from downtown at 32nd Ave NE, and 40% of the capacity is the new Stoney...
  5. ByeByeBaby

    Statscan numbers

    I did a deep dive on this a while ago in a different thread; the quick answer is a reasonable estimate is that as of 2021 about 7.3% of Calgary's jobs seem directly tied to oil and gas, down from more like 10% 25 years earlier. I've since played around with some updated estimates of excess...
  6. ByeByeBaby

    General Construction Updates

    The other locations with my assumptions on the land (as well as the Mission Rd site above and the Boro Block site) 1406 26th St. S.W. Onward Home Society 320 15th Ave. N.E. Aboriginal Friendship Centre of Calgary 299 Erin Woods Dr. S.E. (portion - I assume next to the arena) Siksika Off...
  7. ByeByeBaby

    Trinity Hills | 20m | 6s | Trinity Group

    Bus route 26 doesn't go through the development, it stops on the extreme east end; 1250m from the existing townhomes, 1600m from the 500 apartments to be built on the west end. Route 108 actually passes through the development. The bus runs every half hour and takes 18 minutes from this area to...
  8. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Transit

    I looked at this some time ago; I can't remember if this is 2016 or 2021 Census data tbh. Anyways, here's the population within 400m actual walk distance and within 400-800m walk distance of various main streets in Calgary; Marda Loop is ~11K or so within 800m. The one note I'd have is that...
  9. ByeByeBaby

    Green Line LRT | ?m | ?s | Calgary Transit

    The first alternative seems to me to have been rejected on absolute bogus grounds. The existing LRT routinely drops into tunnels with much less than 1km; the clearest is just west of Lion's Park station where 14 Ave is crossed completely at grade, and the train is under 16th Ave about 150m...
  10. ByeByeBaby

    Green Line LRT | ?m | ?s | Calgary Transit

    Yeah, it doesn't look great. And the heights of the track are probably too high. (which actually reduces the visual impact of the tracks.) But what do you think it would look like? Obviously, for a mere $2.5M we can't expect AECOM to do renderings, but I think there is some onus on the proponent...
  11. ByeByeBaby

    61st Ave Residential | 64m | 19s | Cadillac Fairview | Zeidler

    The building is fine, but I wish that this dishonest architectural practice would be banned: This is only the perspective from the southwest corner if you are on 30 foot stilts, or if you've climbed up to the top of the light standard. This is what the Scotiabank looks like from the SW corner...
  12. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    Airport workers in general are unlikely to take a train from the downtown to work, because they don't live in the downtown. There are broadly two groups of jobs at the airport; highly aviation specific ones (e.g. aircraft mechanic, Customs officer, pilot) and really generic service jobs (e.g...
  13. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    Profit maximization assumes that the service would be profitable at any point; otherwise it sounds like the joke about someone losing $5 on every sale but making it up with volume. That said, I don't think that profit is a good motive for a public transportation system; it would be nice if there...
  14. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    I'm skeptical that people who don't want to have the hassle of parking somewhere and loading onto a shared vehicle just to have to unload and transfer in the Calgary airport would be delighted to add multiple luggage carries and the uncertainty of security to the mix. The people I know who...
  15. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    It's a weird survey. The fare question is not all that useful IMO, because there's no information about the rest of the trip. How much would I pay for a train to Edmonton? How long does it take? Where does it leave Calgary from? Where does it stop in Edmonton? Why am I going to Edmonton? What is...
  16. ByeByeBaby

    Green Line LRT | ?m | ?s | Calgary Transit

    Gondolas are slow and while they have high headways, so should other primary forms of transit. The fact that the MAX Teal has 20 minute peak / 28 minute offpeak headways isn't a natural disadvantage of BRT that gondolas can take advantage of; it's a failure from a lack of investment in core...
  17. ByeByeBaby

    Urban Development and Proposals Discussion

    The existing grandstand is a fair bit longer than McMahon (note the corners of the seats are visible and there's a substantial curve so you don't get neck strain watching anything out of the red zone). The thing that occurred to me is that the chuckwagons just need to go. The track takes up an...
  18. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    There's a lot of reasons for differences. The biggest one is that I was using a measure of household trips, not person trips. About 40% of the trips were by one person, about 30% by two people and about 30% by 3+ person parties, bringing it much closer to the numbers you have here. The TSRC is...
  19. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    I suspect this effect would be very small; you could live in Carstairs today, get affordable housing and take a 45 minute commute to downtown Calgary. Yet almost no one does this; almost no one even lives in Crossfield for a 30 minute commute. And sure, sitting on a train is easier than driving...
  20. ByeByeBaby

    Calgary Regional Rail Transit

    I've heard this from time to time (not just from you), where Calgary-Edmonton have some crazy outlier of demand. And I've been wondering if this is one of those stories that people tell because they've heard it from other people, repeated from civic booster to politician, but there's not any...

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