Mountain Man
Senior Member
in 2050 I'd expect 2.5 million in the city and 3 million in the region.
Sounds about right. 50K is probably the critical mass needed to make the Beltline its own independent mini city.Odds are good that it will double again in 20 years. It's getting to a critical mass now.
Meet Urbgary, population 100k and its satellite cities, the Midgarys, total population 250kThat said, different areas have different growth rates. Downtown and Beltline have been growing at 2-3x the citywide average for the past 20 years. Maintain that trend and will see a 50,000 person Beltline, and an urban walkable core inner city of several hundred thousand. We will see new denser clusters emerge of walkability and urban vibes, such as the new larger proposals in Marda Loop, university district and others.
And those are some pretty conservative growth numbers, which appear to anticipate the growth rate slowing down to around what it was pre-Covid, when we were in a downturn, so I see that as more of a floor than a ceiling. The thing that jumped out at me is that we are estimated to already be at 1,888,000 in the economic region (ie our "real" metro region).I forget if these numbers have been posted yet, but the city government is forecasting (as of Spring 2024) for the city to exceed 1.6 million by 2029, and the CMA and “economic region” to approach 2 million and 2.1 million, respectively. I expected this, but still wild to see it in writing, with reasonable growth numbers (stabilizing from the current mega boom).
The City still has plenty of room on its annual water license. It may hit up against daily limits in the near future, but those are easily solvable through outdoor watering restrictions and building more treated water reservoirs.How many people can the Calgary region hold? There is limited water here, so this summer's restrictions may be a preview of the future.
What does the 18-24 and 28-40 mean? I thought it was age at first but that doesn't make sense since there must be people outside of these age ranges that are moving here.Some big numbers for Calgary. Of course they're only forecasts and anything can happen, but I feel confident the numbers won't be too far off.
City of Calgary
CMA
View attachment 597019